Selected Recent Publications

  • Smith, E. Keith, Žan Mlakar, Alessio Levis, et al. 2026. “Climate policy feasibility across Europe relies on the conditional middle.” Nature Climate Change . 10.1038/s41558-026-02562-8
  • Smith, E. Keith, Camille Fournier de Laurier and Ella Henninger. “Persistent inequalities in global air quality monitoring should not delay pollution mitigation”. PNAS, 122(18), e2423259122. 10.1073/pnas.2423259122
  • Smith, E. Keith*, Dennis Kolcava*, Thomas Bernauer. 2024. “Stringent sustainability regulations for global supply chains are supported across middle-income democracies”. Nature Communications 15(1):1049. 10.1038/s41467-024-45399-5
  • Smith, E. Keith, M. Julia Bognar, Adam Mayer. 2024. “Polarisation of Climate and Environmental Attitudes in the United States, 1973–2022”. npj Climate Action 3(1). 10.1038/s44168-023-00074-1
  • Bouman, Thijs, Jan Willem Bolderdijk, and E. Keith Smith. “Local fossil fuel ad ban as a catalyst for global change.” Nature Climate Change (2025): 1-3. 10.1038/s41558-025-02267-4
  • Smith, E. Keith and Adam Mayer. 2018. “A social trap for the climate? Collective action, trust and climate change risk perception in 35 countries.” Global Environmental Change 49:140–153. 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.02.014
  • Smith, E. Keith*, Marc Wiedermann*, Jonathan Donges, Jobst Heitzig and Ricarda Winkelmann. 2025. “A global threshold model of enabling conditions for social tipping in pro-environmental behaviours – the role of sea level rise anticipation and climate change concern.” Earth Systems Dynamics 16:545–564. 10.5194/esd-16-545-2025

Full Publications List, by Topic

Climate Politics & Public Opinion
  • Smith, E. Keith, M. Julia Bognar, Adam Mayer. 2024. “Polarisation of Climate and Environmental Attitudes in the United States, 1973–2022”. npj Climate Action.
  • Mayer, Adam and E. Keith Smith. 2023. “Multi-dimensional partisanship shapes climate policy support and behaviors”. Nature Climate Change.
  • Manjana Milkoreit and E. Keith Smith. 2025. “Rapidly diverging public trust in science in the United States”. Public Understanding of Science.
  • Smith, E. Keith and Adam Mayer. 2018. “A social trap for the climate?”. Global Environmental Change.
Air Pollution & Environmental Inequality
  • Smith, E. Keith, Camille Fournier de Laurier and Ella Henninger. “Persistent inequalities in global air quality monitoring”. PNAS.
  • Ella Henninger and E. Keith Smith. 2024. “Beyond the haze”. Ecological Economics.
  • Sarah Gomm, Dennis Kolcava, Robert Huber, E. Keith Smith and Thomas Bernauer. 2024. “Procedural inclusiveness in policymaking”. Journal of European Public Policy.
Sustainable Supply Chains & Governance
  • Dennis Kolcava, E. Keith Smith, Thomas Bernauer. 2025. “Voter Perceptions and the Politics of Hidden Costs in Unilateral Sustainable Supply Chain Regulations”. European Journal of Political Research .
  • E. Keith Smith*, Dennis Kolcava*, Thomas Bernauer. 2024. “Stringent sustainability regulations”. Nature Communications.
  • Dennis Kolcava*, E. Keith Smith*, Thomas Bernauer. 2023. “Cross-national public acceptance of sustainable global supply chains”. Nature Sustainability.
Mobility & Transport Policy
  • Florian Lichtin, E. Keith Smith, Kay W. Axhausen, Thomas Bernauer. 2024. “How to design publicly acceptable road pricing?”. Ecological Economics.
  • Florian Lichtin, E. Keith Smith, Kay W. Axhausen, Thomas Bernauer. 2024. “How much should public transport services be expanded?”. Transport Policy.
Social Tipping & Climate Action
  • Smith, E. Keith*, Marc Wiedermann*, Jonathan Donges, Jobst Heitzig and Ricarda Winkelmann. 2025. “A global threshold model”. Earth Systems Dynamics.
  • Ricarda Winkelmann et al. 2022. “Social tipping processes towards climate action”. Ecological Economics.
Energy Insecurity & Environmental Health
  • Adam Mayer and E. Keith Smith. 2022. “Perceptions and experiences of energy insecurity”. Journal of Rural and Community Development.
  • Mayer, Adam, E. Keith Smith and Jeff Rodriguez. 2020. “Concerned about coal”. Energy Research & Social Science.
Religion, Values & Environmental Beliefs
  • Smith, E. Keith and Lynn Hempel. 2022. “Alignment of values and political orientations”. Climatic Change.
  • Smith, E. Keith, Lynn Hempel and Kelsea MacIlroy. 2018. “Evangelical Protestantism and environmental outcomes”. Environmental Politics.
Methods & Tools
  • Smith, E. Keith, Adam Mayer and Michael Lacy. 2019. “Performance Simulations for Categorical Mediation”. Stata Journal.